Limits of Inference
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Overdiagnosis: why scientists and statisticians think we should test fewer people
A targeted testing strategy is the gold standard when screening for disease. This is the best practice for a reason.
Jan 4, 2021
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Overdiagnosis: why scientists and statisticians think we should test fewer people
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Overdiagnosis: false-negatives and sensitivity of RT-PCR [1]
why false negatives aren't as much of a problem in practice
Jan 4, 2021
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Overdiagnosis: false-negatives and sensitivity of RT-PCR [1]
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Overdiagnosis: technical versus clinical false positive [2]
Whether or not a false positive is an error can depend on who you ask
Jan 4, 2021
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Overdiagnosis: technical versus clinical false positive [2]
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Overdiagnosis: how early detection changes the definition of disease itself [3]
what does it mean when disease incidence is uncorrelated with mortality. can you have cancer even if you will never be sick?
Jan 4, 2021
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Overdiagnosis: how early detection changes the definition of disease itself [3]
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December 2020
The best and worst of public health
being healthy means saying yes to life
Dec 11, 2020
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The best and worst of public health
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November 2020
Understanding Risk From Viral Disease
Infection is a risk factor, not a disease itself
Nov 13, 2020
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Understanding Risk From Viral Disease
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October 2020
Science does not solve our problems. People do.
when we look only to scientists for solutions, we will come up short
Oct 28, 2020
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Science does not solve our problems. People do.
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Defining Success: Zero-risk is not an option
We still do have to learn to live with all viruses
Oct 28, 2020
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Defining Success: Zero-risk is not an option
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September 2020
What is a probabilistic value proposition?
Imagine if Gmail delivered 95% of emails to the correct person’s inbox and sent the other 5% to a different person’s inbox.
Sep 22, 2020
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What is a probabilistic value proposition?
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Theory over Data
how scientific reasoning and logic failed during a public health crisis
Sep 9, 2020
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Theory over Data
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May 2020
Debunking the myth of purely ‘data-driven’ decisions
data is a great tool, some expect too much of it
May 27, 2020
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Debunking the myth of purely ‘data-driven’ decisions
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April 2020
What is inductive reasoning?
Why do we put so much faith in a fallible process?
Apr 9, 2020
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What is inductive reasoning?
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